Cardiovascular mortality in a Western Asian country: results from the Iran Cohort Consortium

  1. Department of Epidemiology and BiostatisticsSchool of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, Iran
  2. Prevention of Metabolic Disorders Research CenterResearch Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesTehran, Iran
  3. Department of Biostatistics and EpidemiologyResearch Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesTehran, Iran
  4. Digestive Diseases Research CenterDigestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, Iran
  5. Digestive Oncology Research CenterDigestive Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, Iran
  6. Isfahan Cardiovascular Research centerCardiovascular Research Institute, Isfahan University of Medical SciencesIsfahan, Iran
  7. Ophthalmic Epidemiology Research CenterShahroud University of Medical SciencesShahroud, Iran
  8. Department of epidemiology and biostatisticsHealth School, Isfahan University of Medical SciencesIsfahan, Iran
  9. Noor Ophthalmology Research CenterNoor Eye HospitalTehran, Iran
  10. Non-Communicable Diseases Research CenterEndocrinology and Metabolism Population Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran, Iran
  11. Department of Public HealthErasmus MCRotterdam, The Netherlands
  12. Department of Biomedical Data SciencesLUMCLeiden, The Netherlands
bmj open

Abstract

Objectives: Cardiovascular mortality in Western Asia is high and still rising. However, most data documented on risk prediction has been derived from Western countries and few population-based cohort studies have been conducted in this region. The current study aimed to present the process of pooling data and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality incidences for four Iranian cohorts.

Methods: From the Iran Cohort Consortium, the Golestan Cohort Study (GCS), Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, Isfahan Cohort Study (ICS) and the Shahroud Eye Cohort Study (ShECS) were eligible for the current study since they had appropriate data and follow-up visits. Age-standardised CVD mortality rates were estimated for ages 40-80 and 40-65 years. Cox regression was used to compare mortalities among cohorts. Adjusted marginal rates were calculated using Poisson regression.

Results: Overall, 61 291 participants (34 880 women) aged 40-80 years, free of CVD at baseline, were included. During 504 606 person-years of follow-up, 1981 CVD deaths (885 women) occurred. Age-standardised/sex-standardised premature CVD mortality rates were estimated from 133 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 81 to 184) in ShECS to 366 (95% CI 342 to 389) in the GCS. Compared with urban women, rural women had higher CVD mortality in the GCS but not in the ICS. The GCS population had a higher risk of CVD mortality, compared with the others, adjusted for conventional CVD risk factors.

Conclusions: The incidence of CVD mortality is high with some differences between urban and rural cohorts in Iran as a Western Asian country. Pooling data facilitates the opportunity to globally evaluate risk prediction models.

Keywords: cardiovascular diseases; cohort studies; epidemiology of cardiovascular diseases; mortality.

How to Cite

Fahimfar N, Khalili D, Sepanlou SG, Malekzadeh R, Azizi F, Mansournia MA, Roohafza H, Emamian MH, Hadaegh F, Poustchi H, Mansourian M, Hashemi H, Sharafkhah M, Pourshams A, Farzadfar F, Steyerberg EW, Fotouhi A. Cardiovascular mortality in a Western Asian country: results from the Iran Cohort Consortium. BMJ Open. 2018 Jul 5;8(7):e020303. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-020303. PMID: 29980541; PMCID: PMC6042599.